Overview

The new set of projections by levels of educational attainment was produced by a large team of researchers at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions. It also includes population projections developed for the 5th assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) according to a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. There are two main areas where the new projections advance the state of the art beyond other existing global population projections (those that cover most world countries):

• They explicitly and systematically incorporate population heterogeneity by level of education, thereby illustrating how educational attainment can and should be routinely added to age and sex as a third demographic dimension.
• The assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and migration include the scientific input of more than 500 population experts around the world who responded to an online questionnaire and assessed the validity of alternative arguments as well as the conclusions of intensive discussions at five meta-expert meetings.

Version 1.2 includes the back projections from 2010 to 1970. More information in Speringer et al. 2015.

Citation

The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is:

Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2015). Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 1.2. Available at: http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer

Credits

Data Explorer Team at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital:

Concept and Coordination:

• Guy J. Abel

• Anne Goujon

• Jakob Eder

• Ramon Bauer

Data:

• <a href=“http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/WorldPopulation/Staff/K-C-Samir.en.html"target="_blank">Samir K.C.

Web Interface:

• Guy J. Abel

Researchers who participated in the development of the projections:

M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi	Anne Goujon*	Fernando Riosmena
Guy J. Abel*	Michel Guillot	Louis Rosero-Bixby
Alicia Adsera	Graeme Hugo	Arodys Robles
Bilal F. Barakat*	Lori Hunter	Richard G. Rogers
Stuart Basten	Gavin Jones	Anna Rotkirch
Ramon Bauer*	Samir K.C.*	Nikola Sander*
Jan Van Bavel	James K.S.	Warren C. Sanderson*
Donatien Beguy	Siew-Ean Khoo	Zeba Sathar
Caroline Berghammer*	Henri Leridon	Sergei Scherbov*
Ayla Bonfiglio	Marc Luy*	Bruno Schoumaker
William P. Butz*	Wolfgang Lutz*	David Shapiro
Graziella Caselli	Douglas Massey	Vegard Skirbekk*
John Casterline	Bruno Masquelier	Tomas Sobotka*
Teresa Castro-Martin	John F. May	Erich Striessnig*
Minja Kim Choe	Blessing Mberu	Christian Wegner-Siegmundt*
Youssef Courbage	France Meslé	Maria Rita Testa*
Sven Drefahl	Melinda Mills	Olivier Thévenon
Rachel E. Durham*	S. Philip Morgan	Edward Jow-Ching Tu
Regina Fuchs*	Elsie Pamuk*	Laura Wong
Tomas Frejka	François Pelletier	Brenda Yepez-Martinez
Alessandra Garbero	Michaela Potančoková*	Kryštof Zeman*
Michel Garenne	Ronald R. Rindfuss	Zhongwei Zhao
* From the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital

Web interface built using:

• shiny: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2013). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 0.11.1

Additional R packages used for data manipulations and visualisation:

• dplyr: Wickham, H., & Francois, R. (2015). dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation. R package version 0.4.1
• googleVis: Gesmann, M., & de Castillo, D. (2011). Using the Google visualisation API with R. The R Journal, 3(2), 40-44.
• magrittr: Bache, S.M. & Wickham, H. (2015). magrittr: A Forward-Pipe Operator for R. R package version 1.5
• markdown: Allaire, J.J., Horner, J., Marti, V. & Porte, N. (2015). markdown: Markdown rendering for R. R package version 0.7.4
• reshape2: Wickham, H. (2007). Reshaping Data with the reshape Package. Journal of Statistical Software, 21(12), 1-20.
• saves: Daróczi, G. (2013). saves: Fast load variables. R package version 0.5

Converting HTML plots to PDF and PNG:

• http://wkhtmltopdf.org

English language editior:

• Matthew Cantele

IT Server:

• Null2 Berlin